y2's Take - Matt Duffy

By David on Flickr (Original version)UCinternational (Crop) [CC BY 2.0], via Wikimedia Commons

Matt Duffy is another player that I'm very high on this year, not because I think he's going to take a huge step forward this season, but because I think he will be doing much of the same as last year. In 2015 is had a very well rounded year in his first full season at the big league level.  He's hitting in a good Giants lineup, with potential to hit near the top of the order. He doesn't have fantastic power or speed, however he hit 12 HR's and stole 12 bases last year.  Couple that with his 77 runs, 77 RBI's, and .290 average and you have an above average producing 3B across the board.

Duffy isn't going to rise into the elite group of 3B, and but I think he can do much of the same as he did last year. He has a very good eye with a K% of 15%.  Last year his ground ball % was very high which is something you don't want to see, but even in spite of that he was able to hit .295.  If he can turn some of those into line drives, the average is only going to go up.  He doesn't have the makeup for a big power hitter, however he does have enough pop to get the ball out.  he just turned 25 and there's still upside as he grows into his prime years.  The same goes for his speed.  He store 20+ bases in the minors multiple times and was usually efficient.  I can see both his HR's and SB's increase and if the average can remain above .280, that's essentially the 5 tool player that anyone would love to take in the mid rounds of a draft.

The best part about Duffy is his ADP.  I think it's very possibly that with his consistency, we could be looking at a five tool top 10 3B this season.  Overall i have him creeping into my top 75 overall player list.  That said, his ADP right now is around 150.  Now, I expect that can rise as we lead up to the start of the regular season, but even still it's not likely going to rise to my projection.

I see myself having a ton of shares of Matt Duffy this year and expect to see a bit more power, speed, and overall production out of this under-the-radar gem.