y2's Take - Josh Reddick

By NickB149 (Own work) [CC BY-SA 4.0], via Wikimedia Commons

Going back a few years now, Josh Reddick has been a bit of an under valued outfielder.  Entering his 8th season in the majors, he's really only has a chance to show off his potential a few times.  Twice in his career has he posted seasons of 145+ games, but when he has... he has shined.  Much of this has been because of opportunity.  He simply was the 4th guy in line in Boston, and even platooned a bit while in Oakland.  In his first full season in 2012 he exploded with offensive production posting 32 HR's, 85 RBI's, and 11SB's.  Granted I don't expect him to return to that level, but I do think he could repeat his modest numbers of last season.

In 2015 is hit .272 while belting 20 HR's and swiping 10 bags.  Not elite, but very good for a 4th or 5th OF.  If you look at some of the underlying sabermetrics behind these numbers, you can deduce that they are very repeatable.  Last year he also posted the lowest K% of his career (11.2%), highest BB/K ratio of his career (0.75), and second highest HR/FB ratio of his career only behind his massive 2012 season.  Mash these together and it tells me that he had a much improved eye at the plate last year.  While .272 was well above his career mark of .251, I leaning towards him repeating last year's success rather than regressing back to the mean.  Reddick turns 29 this month and should have a few more good seasons in his prime.  

One of the best things about Reddick is his draft day price.  Current ADP numbers have him a little over 200th overall.  If you're telling me that I can have a potential 20/10 guy at that point in the draft, sign me up now.  I think there's more upside to these numbers as well.  He should hit 4th in the Oakland lineup and the recent addition on Khris Davis should only help him see better pitches and have added RBI opportunities.

Please come join me on the Josh Reddick bandwagon.