Cole Hamels is a starter that most fantasy baseball fans are relatively high on from year to year. I will concede that he is a good pitcher, however one of the more over-rated early round picks this year in my opinion. Looking back at the last few seasons he has consistently been projected as a top 20 pitcher, and this year is no different. His current ADP has him right at 20th among starters and roughly the 67th player overall selected. I would argue this year, he doesn't have a chance of giving you a good return on investment in that spot.
Looking at my rankings and projections, he's an early round selection that I have the greatest variance compared to ADP data. I'm projecting him to be the 32nd SP off my board and falling all the way to 150 overall. Everyone that supports him has the same argument:
Last season, Felix Hernandez was one guy I was very down on compared to the masses for many similar reasons. While he still finished with a solid year, he was universally the #2 SP taken in 2015. I'm essentially projecting a similar regression here with Hamels. I think he can still be a piece on a winning fantasy team, just not where he's being drafted.