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RealTime Fantasy Sports Mock Draft #3

3/1/2016

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Have I mentioned yet that I love mock drafting? It was round three for me to participate in an expert mock draft run by Howard Bender over at RealTime Fantasy Sports.  Again, Howard from Fantasy Alarm and host on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio, wasn't the only expert in this draft.  2-time AL Tout Wars champ Lawr Michaels (@lawrmichaels) was also in attendance . There were a number of other excellent players making this a very competitive mock draft.

Similar to my last two mocks (check them out here and here), this one was a 23 round standard 12 team draft (14 hitters / 9 pitchers).  This time I landed with the 3rd pick overall.  I haven't drafted 3rd yet this season so I was looking forward to seeing some different players in the early rounds.

Before I dive into my picks, you can go here to see the full grid results of every team's picks round by round.

And here is my team:
  1. Paul Goldschmidt (Round 1.03, overall pick 3): I have him #2 overall in my ranks. Trout and Harper went before me so this was an easy one.
  2. Max Scherzer (Round 2.10, overall pick 22): I debated between Scherzer and Jose Abreu.  I decided Scherzer because I felt if I missed Abreu coming back to me, there were still a few hitters that I would be happy with in the next round.  I wanted the ace more who is my #2 pitcher behind Kershaw.
  3. Jose Abreu (Round 3.03, overall pick 27): I was very happy to see Abreu fell to me anyways.  I have him in my top 20 and this felt like this was a nice third round value.
  4. Ryan Braun (Round 4.10, overall pick 46): In rounds 4 and 5 I wanted another great SP and another great bat.  Knowing the 2 picks were close, I went with the bat first because there was a group of SP's still left I liked, and one would fall to me in the 5th.  Braun the the top bat on my board and I see myself with a lot of him this year.  I'm just higher on him than most.
  5. Stephen Strasburg (Round 5.02, overall pick 51): Wanted a second ace to backup Scherzer and I was very pleased to get the high K/9 upside.
  6. Wade Davis (Round 6.10, overall 70): As long as it's not overpaying, I want to get an elite closer.  Jansen and Kimbrel were gone and Davis was the last elite guy in that tier for me at the right value.
  7. Yasiel Puig (Round 7.02, overall 75): I actually have Puig ranked close to Braun in the mid 40's overall so this felt like another steal.  Really the upside is just as high as last year when he was a second round pick.  He just comes with a cheaper price tag this year.
  8. Jon Lester (Round 8.10, overall 94): I wasn't planning on another SP here, but monitoring my tiers, I saw a run happening.  Lester was the last guy in a tier before a reasonable drop-off to me, so I went Lester here.  After watching the next few rounds unfold, was very happy I made this pick.
  9. Ben Revere (Round 9.03, overall 99): Looking at my roster construct, I had a lot more power than speed so far.  Looking at the overall value of the guys left on my big board, Revere was the highest rated guy that would help me the most catch up where I felt I was a bit lacking.  Not overpaying for him either was a plus.
  10. Matt Duffy (Round 10.10, overall 118): I have Duffy within my top 75 and have a piece here detailing exactly why.  Love Duffy in 2016, another bargain.
  11. Hector Rondon (Round 11.03, overall 123): Over the last couple of rounds a lot of closers went off the board.  Rondon and only one other were in a tier that I was happy with as my #2 closer so this was something I felt like I needed to do.
  12. Michael Pineda (Round 12.10, overall 142): Similar to my Lester pick, watching my tiers deplete, I wanted to get one of the last SP options before it fell off.  I knew at this point I had 3 very good SP's but that didn't stop me from getting one more.
  13. Salvador Perez (Round 13.03, overall 147): I didn't have a catcher yet and this was a spot for me that was close to where I had Perez ranked.  I don't like reaching for catchers and this wasn't a reach based on my ranks.  Also, there was a huge value drop off after him so I took him.
  14. Shawn Tolleson (Round 14.10, overall 166): I wanted a third closer and there were only a couple left that I felt had solid job security coming into the season.  Tolleson was the best of that crew.
  15. Kole Calhoun (Round 15.03, overall 171): Just great value here.  I wanted a bit more power and he was a good OF option to make that happen.
  16. Kolten Wong (Round 16.10, overall 189): Not a guy I was targeting, but I was fine taking him.  I waited on 2B but there were still a few guys I would have been happy with.  A 2B option that gives a little power and speed
  17. Yu Darvish (Round 17.03, overall pick 195): Another pick that I felt was just too much value to pass up.  Sure there is risk associated with Darvish, but tremendous upside for the 17th round.
  18. Alex Gordon (Round 18.10, overall pick 214): Another guy I'm super high on that I target late in every draft.  Just fantastic value.
  19. Neil Walker (Round 19.03, overall pick 219): I needed to fill my middle infield slot still, and looking at the player pool left, I knew I didn't want to do that with the available shortstop choices still out there. Hell, I didn't even have an SS yet.  Walker was the best 2B option left so somewhat of an easy choice.
  20. Alexei Ramirez (Round 20.20, overall pick 238): While I'd like to be strong everywhere, it just doesn't happen, but getting a possible 10/10 shortstop late is fine with me.
  21. Francisco Cervelli (Round 21.03, overall 243): I needed a second catcher and the player pool was very thin at this point.  Was happy to get a good average with a lot of potential AB's.
  22. Hisashi Iwakuma (Round 22.10, overall 262): How he fell this late was nuts to me.  I get he's an injury risk as well, but the upside for a 22nd overall pick is well worth the risk.
  23. Kevin Kiermaier (Round 23.03, overall 267): It's nice when your utility is the last slot to fill.  Added flexibility late and and I was happy to get a possible 15/15 OF option.

My initial reaction couldn't have been happier with this draft.  There were very few picks where I felt like I had a guy taken right before my pick and felt like a ton of value fell to me late.  Let's now look at the actual projected stats starting with the batting:
Pick Name Team Position AB's Hit's Runs HR's RBI's SB's AVG
13 Salvador Perez KC C 525 145 53 20 72 1 0.276
21 Francisco Cervelli PIT C 418 119 53 7 48 2 0.285
1 Paul Goldschmidt ARI 1B 560 170 100 31 106 16 0.304
16 Kolten Wong STL 2B 526 139 67 12 60 16 0.264
10 Matt Duffy SF 3B 548 157 62 13 70 14 0.286
20 Alexei Ramirez SD SS 580 152 53 10 56 16 0.262
3 Jose Abreu CWS CI 565 163 84 31 94 1 0.288
19 Neil Walker NYM MI 529 141 67 17 66 3 0.267
4 Ryan Braun MIL OF 518 147 78 24 82 16 0.284
7 Yasiel Puig LAD OF 504 142 80 22 74 11 0.282
9 Ben Revere WAS OF 580 172 71 2 44 31 0.297
15 Kole Calhoun LAA OF 576 150 79 22 80 4 0.260
18 Alex Gordon KC OF 535 146 78 18 70 7 0.273
23 Kevin Kiermaier TB UTIL 510 135 60 12 43 15 0.265
      Totals: 7474 2078 985 241 965 153 0.278
Now, I understand at first glance this isn't the best hitting team I've drafted, but when you consider the pitching that goes along with it, I'm very pleased.  Average could win my league and SB would also be near the top.  I could be in the middle of the pack in Runs, HR's and RBI's looking at these numbers and I'm very happy with that. 

Now lets see pitching:
Pick Name Team Position Saves IP's Wins Earned Runs K's ERA WHIP
2 Max Scherzer WSH P 0 224 17 70 254 2.81 1.01
5 Stephen Strasburg WSH P 0 188 15 61 221 2.92 1.05
6 Wade Davis KC P 36 68 3 16 75 2.12 0.90
8 Jon Lester CHC P 0 202 13 73 201 3.25 1.13
11 Hector Rondon CHC P 34 67 4 18 66 2.42 1.07
12 Michael Pineda NYY P 0 172 13 68 160 3.56 1.15
14 Shawn Tolleson TEX P 33 70 3 24 72 3.09 1.17
17 Yu Darvish TEX P 0 146 10 54 162 3.33 1.18
22 Hisashi Iwakuma SEA P 0 142 10 53 128 3.36 1.05
      Totals: 103 1279 88 437 1339 3.08 1.08
Really felt like I hit it big with pitching.  ERA and WHIP could win a league and having more K's than IP would put me in a position to lead there as well.  Finally 3 closers that I'm comfortable with and I think it would be realistic to have a shot to win all 5 pitching categories.  Absolutely love this pitching staff!

So where does that leave this team projected overall?  Check it out here.  When I saw these projected results, my jaw dropped.  I knew I'd dominate pitching and figured I'd do well hitting, but I was shocked to see FantasyPros.com projected me to sweep both hitting and pitching.  This is now 3 mocks in a row where they've projected me to have the best team.  This time, it's not even close.  Hopefully this means I'm doing something right, but we shall see when it comes time for some real drafts. 

I'd like to thank Howard Bendor again for continually hosting these mocks.  They are always a ton of fun.
1 Comment
Flying with Anne link
12/1/2020 12:46:36 am

Hi niice reading your post

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