It's so easy to forget something like bold predictions, which at this point in the season feels like they were made eons ago. That said, I try to be accountable wherever possible and recently took a look back to my preseason picks. Let's see how I've have fared:
1. Josh Reddick finishes as a top 20 fantasy outfielder. I think this one really could have come through had he not missed a month with a broken thumb. Before hitting the DL he was on pace for a 20/20 fantasy season. He has no chance to make this prediction now, but fantasy owners should still count on him to be a productive asset the rest of the year.
2. Dallas Keuchel finishes top 3 in AL Cy Young voting. By far my worst prediction. Even with a couple recent outings that have shown hope, Keuchel has been arguably one of the worst draft day busts in 2016.
3. Cole Hamels will disappoint everyone that drafts him. I'm a little closer with this one. Coming into the season Hamels was the 26th pitcher being taken based upon ADP. He's currently sitting around the 35th SP overall, however has been trending in the wrong direction recently. His bloated 9-2 record is a product of early season success and great run support. His 1.33 WHIP is more of a true indicator of how he's pitched. I'll still bank that he continues to decline and would be a sell-high candidate for me.
4. Stephen Strasburg will lead the NL in strikeouts. He's currently sitting 5th on the NL list for K's leaders. While it's not out of the realm that he leads the league as predicted, it's highly unlikely.. Scherzer is on a very impressive pace and Kershaw would have destroyed Strasburg had he not hit the DL. Close but no cigar for this one.
5. Aroldis Chapman fails to exceed 20 saves. Sitting at 17 saves at the all-star break, this one is also sure to fail. While his ERA is a bit higher in the AL than the NL, he's been excellent since returning from his suspension.
6. Kevin Pillar scores 100+ runs. Some would say that Pillar hasn't been good this year. Right now he's on pace to go 70/14/70/14/.265+ I'll take that from a 4th or 5th OF all day. That said, he's not going to come close to 100 runs scored. after losing the lead-off job for Toronto, this wasn't going to happen.
7. Corey Seager fails to reach 20 HR's, 6 SB's, and bats under .265. As of today Seager is batting .297 with 17 HR's and 1 SB. I have a shot at the steals still right? This guy has been just about what everyone had hoped for. He will blow this prediction out of the water.
8. Starling Marte posts 20 HR's, 30 SB's, and finishes top 5 in NL MVP voting. Finally a prediction that has some hope! He would need to turn things on to reach 20 HR's (only sitting at 6), however he has his 30 steals already and s batting an impressive .316. If this pace continues, he could be in the argument for top 5 MVP.
9. Jonathan Papelbon leads the NL in saves. Another prediction thwarted by injury. Paps has 19 saves and has pitched well all year, however he missed 3+ weeks due to injuries. he would have to go on a heck of a streak to lead the NL, but has been a solid saves option regardless.
Result: Fail (but not totally)
10. Carlos Rodon is utterly terrible in 2016. Thank you Carlos Rodon for my only solid win! He has been utterly terrible. His 4.50 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP is providing negative value to anyone that it desperate enough to still have him on their rosters. His ownership on most leagues is below 20% and I'd argue there is no reason to hold him at all.
Bold predictions are fun however don't always pan out. In my case, they almost didn't pan out all together. I hit a couple and was close on a few more, but overall, this probably wasn't my best showing. Hopefully nest year I can be a bit more accurate, but I'm sure will have fun regardless.