There are a number of high profile players that now have new homes. Each move has fantasy implications and here is my analysis of some of the larger signings:
- David Price: Back to the AL East for price. Wherever Price would have landed, he would have had success to some degree. He could have been an ace for any rotation, and while the AL East is one of the stronger offensive divisions in baseball, Price have a large amount of experience and success against these higher powered rosters. The Red Sox are the favorite to win the AL (at least Vegas thinks so). theoretically that should give him a number of opportunities for wins. While his ERA and WHIP might not lead the league, it's not out of the realm of possibilities to see him with a sub 3.00 ERA and sub 1.10 WHIP. He's in my top 5 overall SP's heading into this year.
- Zack Greinke: Greinke is coming off a historic season. He posted numbers that haven't been seen in decades and frankly will not be reproduced by Greinke. He will still be very good and staying in the NL West should help. Natural regression is to be expected after his 2015 campaign, however you can pencil in a great ERA and WHIP. I would expect the wins to dip going from the Dodgers to the Diamondbacks, but i do think the diamondbacks will be better than last year; just not good enough to win the division.
- Jason Heyward: For the last 6 years Heyward has been a ton of potential that just hasn't lived up to his hype. That said, he's been a fine player, just not what the masses have expected from him. He probably has 20/20 potential for this season, and depending where he falls in the Cubs lineup, could be in line for solid run or RBI production. I don't think he will ever pan out and provide 1st or 2nd round value, but Heyward could fit in nicely with the Cubs and provide solid #2/#3 OF production for your fantasy team.
- Justin Upton: One of the more recent major moves, Upton adds yet another right handed bat to the Tigers lineup. Similar to Heyward, Upton has always had unrealistic expectation set for him, especially after his breakout season in 2011. Since then, most fantasy owners have been disappointed with his production, even though his production overall has been solid. The switch from the NL to the AL concerns me a bit, but at least he landed in what should be a higher powered offense. I expect much of the same from Upton, disappointment compared to expectations, but in actuality, fine OF #2 production.
- Johnny Cueto: After a very brief stint with the Royals, Cueto heads back to the NL with the Giants. I'm a bit more scared with Cueto after huge second half regression last season. Prior to last year, Cueto posted 4 consecutive seasons of sub 3.00 ERA. While that's extremely consistent and encouraging, his second half woes have me concerned. He should be pitching for a very good Giants team and even with some pheripheral regression, Cueto should be in line to get Wins. I don't at all think that he will be as bad as his time with the Royals, but his runs allowed will not be as good as in years past. SP #2 should be possibly, and there may be SP #1 upside, but there is also downside as well.
- Chris Davis: This was the best possible scenario for Chris Davis. He gets to retain the comfort of staying with the same team and seeing most of the same pitchers he's accustom to. He gets to work with the same hitting coach and continue to hit HR's out of Camden Yards. You should still see Elite power coupled with below average AVG from Davis. I'm usually down on Davis more than most are so my projections may be a bit soft compared to others, however he will be able to compete for the AL HR lead.
- Yoenis Cespedes: Breaking news in just the last couple of days, Cespedes resigned with the Mets for 3 more years. I love this move for Cespedes's production and value. He's jumped from team to team so much recently, stability should be a good thing for him. While the Mets lineup isn't all that potent, there are enough run producers to give him adequate RBI opportunities. I think the power will regress a bit from last season, but 30 HR's is still possible.